San Antonio @ Dallas

Tip-off 5:00 PM PT · Draft Kings lines · 5,000 sims · win chance for SAS

Sim

80%

Books

82%

ESPN model

77%

Median score

122-110

SAS - DAL

SAS -12.5

51%

sim cover rate

Total 232.5

49%

over · sim avg 233

Moneyline

+440

DAL · SAS -600

NBA backtest: the books beat this sim on sides and totals; props run slightly above base rates. Details

How the sim saw it

The sim has San Antonio winning 79.5% of 5,000 games, against 82% from the books. The median score is Dallas 110, San Antonio 122. In the most typical game: San Antonio leads by as many as 20 in the first half; San Antonio leads 67-50 at the break. San Antonio's 9-0 run in the 1st quarter is the biggest swing. K. Johnson puts San Antonio ahead for good with 11:04 left in the 1st. Clayton finds Washington 4 times. Harper goes 8 of 12 off San Antonio's bench. San Antonio leads by 13 at its high point in the 4th. Dallas gets within 7. Harper scores last; final 122-109 San Antonio.

Dallas wins 1,025 of the 5,000. Its chances rise when it makes 15+ threes (it wins 38%), wins the turnover battle (30%) or gets 25+ from Marshall (29%). The matchup to watch is San Antonio's ball security against Dallas's hands. San Antonio covers -12.5 in 51% and the game goes over 232.5 in 49%.

Full breakdown

Last time they met (Apr 10), San Antonio won in San Antonio, 139-120.
Tonight Dallas is without Santi Aldama, Cooper Flagg and Dereck Lively II.
Tonight San Antonio is without Tobias Harris.
Dallas went 26-56 last season (23rd best record in the NBA).
San Antonio went 62-20 last season (2nd best record in the NBA).
San Antonio won the season series 4-0.
P.J. Washington missed 2 of the 4 meetings.
Daniel Gafford missed 2 of the 4 meetings.
Dallas: gone: Klay Thompson (now MIA), Brandon Williams (now GSW), Ryan Nembhard (now DEN); new: Zaccharie Risacher (from ATL), Walter Clayton Jr. (from UTA), Morez Johnson Jr. (no NBA minutes last season), Marcus Sasser (from DET), Sergio de Larrea (no NBA minutes last season), Tobi Lawal (no NBA minutes last season).
San Antonio: new: Maliq Brown (no NBA minutes last season), Ja'Kobi Gillespie (no NBA minutes last season), Tarris Reed Jr. (no NBA minutes last season).
Who's in the sim (top five by projected minutes listed first):
DAL: Washington, Christie, Marshall, Risacher, Gafford
Bench: Clayton, M. Johnson, Sasser, Cissé (+2 under 8 min)
Out: Aldama, Biberović, Flagg, Howard, Irving, Lively, Martin
SAS: Fox, Vassell, Wembanyama, Castle, Champagnie
Bench: Harper, K. Johnson, Barnes, Kornet (+6 under 8 min)
Out: Harris, Quaintance
Who gets hunted: last season shooters hit +2.2 points vs their usual FG% against Walter Clayton Jr. and +1.8 against Naji Marshall.
The stoppers on threes: Victor Wembanyama held shooters 4.9 points under their usual 3P%, Zaccharie Risacher held shooters 4.2 points under their usual 3P%.
In the sim, Dylan Harper sees Clayton on 25% of their shots.
The matchup to watch: San Antonio's ball security vs Dallas's hands.
San Antonio turned it over on 12.4% of possessions last season (4th fewest).
Dallas forced turnovers on 12.1% (27th most), with 7.5 steals (24th) and 5.2 blocks (10th) a game.
Shot diets.
Dallas: 35.5% of shots from three (27th), 31.0% at the rim (11th).
San Antonio: 42.2% of shots from three (15th), 32.9% at the rim (7th).
Dallas's defense: 22nd fewest rim attempts allowed, 6th lowest opponent three-point % (35.0%).
San Antonio's defense: 5th fewest rim attempts allowed, 8th lowest opponent three-point % (35.2%).
San Antonio's offense runs through De'Aaron Fox on the pick-and-roll ball handler: 4.9 a game last season, 34th most in the NBA.
0.95 points per play (top 26%), turnover on 16% of them.
When it goes to the roller: San Antonio's roll men scored 1.26 (1st in the league). Victor Wembanyama alone: 1.25.
Dallas faced 18.4 of those a game (11th most) and ranked 17th defending them. Against the roll man: 20th.
In the sim: 1.75 Fox-to-Wembanyama baskets a game (last season: 1.72).
With 8+ Fox assists, San Antonio wins 84.6%.
Dallas's offense lives on four plays: spot-up shots, transition, the pick-and-roll ball handler, isolation. It ranked 27th, 2nd, 25th, 26th in points per play on them.
San Antonio's defense ranked 11th, 2nd, 5th, 15th against those same four.
Naji Marshall in one split:
The pick-and-roll ball handler: 0.92 points per play (top 33%), 2.2 a game.
Transition: 1.22 points per play (top 31%), 4.1 a game.
San Antonio's defense: 2nd against transition, 5th against the pick-and-roll ball handler.
Where Dallas can hit back:
- San Antonio was 25th defending off-screen shots. Max Christie ran 0.8 a game at 1.00 per play
- San Antonio was 21st defending putbacks. Daniel Gafford ran 1.8 a game at 1.36 per play
One check against real life:
De'Aaron Fox scored 16.7 points in his 3 games against Dallas last season, 18 of them on Apr 10. In our 5,000 sims: 19.7.
Naji Marshall scored 13.7 points in his 3 games against San Antonio last season, 32 of them on Feb 5. In our 5,000 sims: 19.5.
Things you'll notice in the sim:
- San Antonio leads by as many as 20 in the first half; San Antonio leads 67-50 at the break
- San Antonio's 9-0 run in the 1st quarter is the biggest swing
- K. Johnson puts San Antonio ahead for good with 11:04 left in the 1st
- Clayton finds Washington 4 times
- Harper goes 8 of 12 off San Antonio's bench
- San Antonio leads by 13 at its high point in the 4th. Dallas gets within 7. Harper scores last; final 122-109 San Antonio
How Dallas wins (1,025 of the 5,000):
- It makes threes: 14.0 a game in its wins, 11.7 in its losses. At 15 or more, it wins 38%
- It wins the turnover battle: then it wins 30%
- Marshall scores 25 or more: then it wins 29%
Across all 5,000 sims:
San Antonio wins 79.5%. The books (Draft Kings) have San Antonio at 82%, ESPN's model at 77%.
Median score: Dallas 110, San Antonio 122
San Antonio covers -12.5 in 51%
Over 232.5 in 49%
Leans:
Caution: tonight the sim sits 1.0 over the books' prop lines on average, so overs are inflated
- Dylan Harper under 21.5 pts+ast (88%, sim avg 15.3)
- Dylan Harper under 22.5 pts+reb (86%, sim avg 16.5)
- Dylan Harper under 17.5 points (85%, sim avg 12.2)
- De'Aaron Fox over 20.5 pts+ast (80%, sim avg 26.3)
Fine print: one game isn't a prediction. The percentages are the signal.
Our own backtest (2024-26): the books beat this sim on sides and totals. Prop leans beat the base rate by 1-4 points out of sample, not enough to prove profit. Treat it as a lens, not a bet.

Most typical game, play by play (SAS score first)

Quarter 1

Q1DALMarcus Sasser turns it over0-0

Q1SASStephon Castle misses three0-0

Q1DALMax Christie misses three0-0

Q1SASVictor Wembanyama scores corner three (assist Dylan Harper)3-0

Q1DALMax Christie misses in the paint, offensive rebound3-0

Q1DALWalter Clayton Jr. scores corner three (assist Naji Marshall)3-3

Q1SASKeldon Johnson scores at the rim (assist Devin Vassell)5-3

Q1DALZaccharie Risacher misses from midrange5-3

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox scores in the paint7-3

Q1DALZaccharie Risacher misses three7-3

Q1SASStephon Castle scores at the rim (assist De'Aaron Fox)9-3

Q1DALZaccharie Risacher scores at the rim (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)9-5

Q1SASCarter Bryant goes to the line, makes 2 of 211-5

Q1DALNaji Marshall misses at the rim, offensive rebound11-5

Q1DALP.J. Washington misses three11-5

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox scores from midrange13-5

Q1DALZaccharie Risacher turns it over13-5

Q1SASDylan Harper scores at the rim (assist Stephon Castle)15-5

Q1DALWalter Clayton Jr. turns it over15-5

Q1SASDevin Vassell scores three (assist Victor Wembanyama)18-5

Q1DALNaji Marshall goes to the line, makes 2 of 218-7

Q1SASDylan Harper scores at the rim20-7

Q1DALMarcus Sasser misses three20-7

Q1SASDevin Vassell misses corner three20-7

Q1DALWalter Clayton Jr. scores corner three (assist Naji Marshall)20-10

Q1SASJulian Champagnie misses three20-10

Q1DALMax Christie misses in the paint, offensive rebound20-10

Q1DALMarcus Sasser turns it over20-10

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox misses in the paint20-10

Q1DALP.J. Washington goes to the line, makes 2 of 220-12

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three20-12

Q1DALNaji Marshall misses three20-12

Q1SASStephon Castle scores three (assist Dylan Harper)23-12

Q1DALNaji Marshall turns it over23-12

Q1SASDylan Harper scores in the paint25-12

Q1DALNaji Marshall misses corner three, offensive rebound25-12

Q1DALP.J. Washington goes to the line, makes 2 of 225-14

Q1SASDevin Vassell goes to the line, makes 1 of 226-14

Q1DALP.J. Washington scores three (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)26-17

Q1SASStephon Castle misses at the rim26-17

Q1DALWalter Clayton Jr. misses three26-17

Q1SASDevin Vassell scores in the paint (assist Stephon Castle)28-17

Q1DALMax Christie scores three (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)28-20

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox misses in the paint28-20

Q1DALDaniel Gafford scores at the rim28-22

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox scores in the paint30-22

Q1DALNaji Marshall misses corner three30-22

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three, offensive rebound30-22

Q1SASDevin Vassell misses from midrange, offensive rebound30-22

Q1SASVictor Wembanyama misses corner three, offensive rebound30-22

Q1SASStephon Castle turns it over30-22

Q1DALMax Christie misses in the paint30-22

Q1SASKeldon Johnson misses three, offensive rebound30-22

Q1SASVictor Wembanyama misses from midrange30-22

Q1DALMarcus Sasser turns it over30-22

Q1SASDevin Vassell scores three (assist Harrison Barnes)33-22

Q1DALP.J. Washington scores in the paint (assist Naji Marshall)33-24

Q1SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim35-24

Q1DALDaniel Gafford goes to the line, makes 2 of 235-26

Q1SASDe'Aaron Fox scores in the paint37-26

Quarter 2

Q2DALNaji Marshall turns it over37-26

Q2SASDylan Harper misses at the rim37-26

Q2DALWalter Clayton Jr. misses at the rim37-26

Q2SASKeldon Johnson misses corner three37-26

Q2DALDaniel Gafford scores at the rim (assist Naji Marshall)37-28

Q2SASKeldon Johnson turns it over37-28

Q2DALP.J. Washington misses three37-28

Q2SASDevin Vassell turns it over37-28

Q2DALMax Christie misses from midrange37-28

Q2SASKeldon Johnson scores at the rim39-28

Q2DALP.J. Washington misses corner three39-28

Q2SASJulian Champagnie misses in the paint39-28

Q2DALMarcus Sasser turns it over39-28

Q2SASStephon Castle misses three39-28

Q2DALZaccharie Risacher misses three39-28

Q2SASStephon Castle scores at the rim (assist Dylan Harper)41-28

Q2DALP.J. Washington scores at the rim (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)41-30

Q2SASDavid Jones Garcia scores in the paint (assist Devin Vassell), and one44-30

Q2DALP.J. Washington misses at the rim, offensive rebound44-30

Q2DALDaniel Gafford turns it over44-30

Q2SASDe'Aaron Fox goes to the line, makes 2 of 246-30

Q2DALMorez Johnson Jr. misses three, offensive rebound46-30

Q2DALP.J. Washington misses three46-30

Q2SASStephon Castle scores three (assist Victor Wembanyama)49-30

Q2DALP.J. Washington misses at the rim, offensive rebound49-30

Q2DALMarcus Sasser scores three (assist Max Christie)49-33

Q2SASHarrison Barnes scores corner three (assist De'Aaron Fox)52-33

Q2DALZaccharie Risacher scores three (assist Max Christie)52-36

Q2SASJulian Champagnie scores in the paint (assist De'Aaron Fox)54-36

Q2DALNaji Marshall misses three, offensive rebound54-36

Q2DALMax Christie scores three (assist Naji Marshall)54-39

Q2SASDylan Harper turns it over54-39

Q2DALMax Christie misses in the paint54-39

Q2SASDevin Vassell misses from midrange54-39

Q2DALMax Christie scores three (assist Naji Marshall)54-42

Q2SASDylan Harper scores from midrange (assist De'Aaron Fox)56-42

Q2DALNaji Marshall misses in the paint56-42

Q2SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim58-42

Q2DALNaji Marshall misses corner three58-42

Q2SASJulian Champagnie scores three (assist Keldon Johnson)61-42

Q2DALP.J. Washington scores three (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)61-45

Q2SASStephon Castle misses in the paint, offensive rebound61-45

Q2SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim63-45

Q2DALNaji Marshall misses at the rim63-45

Q2SASDe'Aaron Fox turns it over63-45

Q2DALNaji Marshall misses in the paint63-45

Q2SASCarter Bryant goes to the line, makes 2 of 265-45

Q2DALNaji Marshall scores corner three (assist P.J. Washington)65-48

Q2SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three65-48

Q2DALMax Christie misses at the rim65-48

Q2SASVictor Wembanyama misses in the paint, offensive rebound65-48

Q2SASJulian Champagnie misses three65-48

Q2DALMarcus Sasser scores in the paint (assist Daniel Gafford)65-50

Q2SASDylan Harper scores at the rim67-50

Q2DALNaji Marshall misses in the paint, offensive rebound67-50

Q2DALP.J. Washington misses at the rim67-50

Q2SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three67-50

Quarter 3

Q3DALMarcus Sasser misses from midrange, offensive rebound67-50

Q3DALMarcus Sasser scores three (assist Zaccharie Risacher)67-53

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox scores at the rim69-53

Q3DALP.J. Washington scores at the rim (assist Naji Marshall)69-55

Q3SASDylan Harper scores at the rim71-55

Q3DALMax Christie scores three (assist P.J. Washington)71-58

Q3SASDylan Harper misses from midrange71-58

Q3DALP.J. Washington scores from midrange71-60

Q3SASJulian Champagnie turns it over71-60

Q3DALP.J. Washington scores at the rim (assist Sergio de Larrea)71-62

Q3SASHarrison Barnes misses in the paint71-62

Q3DALP.J. Washington misses in the paint71-62

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox turns it over71-62

Q3DALMorez Johnson Jr. misses three71-62

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama misses from midrange71-62

Q3DALMoussa Cissé misses corner three, offensive rebound71-62

Q3DALWalter Clayton Jr. misses at the rim, offensive rebound71-62

Q3DALMarcus Sasser misses three71-62

Q3SASStephon Castle scores at the rim, and one74-62

Q3DALNaji Marshall scores in the paint74-64

Q3SASStephon Castle scores at the rim (assist De'Aaron Fox)76-64

Q3DALMarcus Sasser scores corner three (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)76-67

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three76-67

Q3DALMax Christie misses at the rim76-67

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three76-67

Q3DALMarcus Sasser scores at the rim (assist Max Christie)76-69

Q3SASDylan Harper misses at the rim76-69

Q3DALNaji Marshall misses in the paint76-69

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim (assist Stephon Castle)78-69

Q3DALNaji Marshall misses at the rim78-69

Q3SASStephon Castle misses at the rim78-69

Q3DALWalter Clayton Jr. misses in the paint78-69

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox scores in the paint80-69

Q3DALMax Christie misses corner three80-69

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox scores at the rim82-69

Q3DALNaji Marshall scores corner three (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)82-72

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox scores from midrange (assist Devin Vassell)84-72

Q3DALWalter Clayton Jr. turns it over84-72

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim86-72

Q3DALMax Christie misses from midrange86-72

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama turns it over86-72

Q3DALMarcus Sasser scores from midrange (assist P.J. Washington)86-74

Q3SASDe'Aaron Fox goes to the line, makes 2 of 288-74

Q3DALMarcus Sasser scores at the rim (assist Morez Johnson Jr.)88-76

Q3SASStephon Castle misses at the rim88-76

Q3DALNaji Marshall goes to the line, makes 2 of 288-78

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama misses three, offensive rebound88-78

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama misses three88-78

Q3DALP.J. Washington misses corner three88-78

Q3SASCarter Bryant misses three88-78

Q3DALP.J. Washington misses three88-78

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim (assist Stephon Castle)90-78

Q3DALNaji Marshall turns it over90-78

Q3SASDevin Vassell scores in the paint (assist Luke Kornet), and one93-78

Q3DALMax Christie scores at the rim (assist Marcus Sasser)93-80

Q3SASVictor Wembanyama misses at the rim93-80

Quarter 4

Q4DALDaniel Gafford scores in the paint (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)93-82

Q4SASStephon Castle scores at the rim95-82

Q4DALP.J. Washington misses three95-82

Q4SASStephon Castle misses in the paint95-82

Q4DALMoussa Cissé scores at the rim (assist Marcus Sasser)95-84

Q4SASDevin Vassell misses in the paint95-84

Q4DALZaccharie Risacher misses three95-84

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama misses from midrange95-84

Q4DALWalter Clayton Jr. scores three (assist Marcus Sasser)95-87

Q4SASHarrison Barnes scores corner three (assist De'Aaron Fox)98-87

Q4DALMax Christie scores corner three (assist P.J. Washington)98-90

Q4SASDevin Vassell scores corner three (assist Victor Wembanyama)101-90

Q4DALP.J. Washington scores in the paint (assist Naji Marshall)101-92

Q4SASDylan Harper misses at the rim101-92

Q4DALP.J. Washington scores corner three (assist Walter Clayton Jr.)101-95

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim103-95

Q4DALWalter Clayton Jr. misses three103-95

Q4SASDylan Harper scores at the rim (assist Keldon Johnson)105-95

Q4DALZaccharie Risacher misses at the rim105-95

Q4SASStephon Castle scores three (assist Luke Kornet)108-95

Q4DALWalter Clayton Jr. scores in the paint (assist Marcus Sasser)108-97

Q4SASKeldon Johnson scores at the rim110-97

Q4DALNaji Marshall scores in the paint110-99

Q4SASHarrison Barnes misses three110-99

Q4DALMax Christie scores at the rim (assist Morez Johnson Jr.)110-101

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama misses in the paint110-101

Q4DALNaji Marshall scores in the paint110-103

Q4SASDe'Aaron Fox misses three110-103

Q4DALNaji Marshall turns it over110-103

Q4SASStephon Castle misses in the paint110-103

Q4DALNaji Marshall misses three110-103

Q4SASDe'Aaron Fox misses from midrange110-103

Q4DALMax Christie misses in the paint110-103

Q4SASDe'Aaron Fox misses at the rim, offensive rebound110-103

Q4SASStephon Castle scores at the rim112-103

Q4DALP.J. Washington scores at the rim112-105

Q4SASStephon Castle misses in the paint112-105

Q4DALZaccharie Risacher misses corner three112-105

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama goes to the line, makes 2 of 2114-105

Q4DALP.J. Washington misses at the rim114-105

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama misses three114-105

Q4DALP.J. Washington turns it over114-105

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama scores at the rim (assist De'Aaron Fox)116-105

Q4DALZaccharie Risacher scores in the paint (assist Marcus Sasser)116-107

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama goes to the line, makes 1 of 2117-107

Q4DALZaccharie Risacher misses at the rim117-107

Q4SASVictor Wembanyama turns it over117-107

Q4DALMarcus Sasser misses in the paint117-107

Q4SASDevin Vassell misses three117-107

Q4DALZaccharie Risacher scores at the rim (assist Naji Marshall)117-109

Q4SASJulian Champagnie scores at the rim (assist Luke Kornet)119-109

Q4DALWalter Clayton Jr. misses at the rim119-109

Q4SASDylan Harper scores three (assist Stephon Castle)122-109

Top 10 prop ideas

The sim's 10 strongest prop leans, logged Sat Oct 24, 9:17 AM and graded after the game. Players new to their team are left out. Not a proven edge: on 2024-26 games, picking each game's 10 strongest leans lost 4-7% at the books' prices, because the books already lean the same way. ESPN doesn't say which posted price is the over, so the price shown is the worse of the two. Prop ideas so far: 73-70 (51%), -14.4 units at the worse price.

Player	Idea	Sim	Price	Result
Dylan Harper	under 21.5 pts+ast	88%	-121	24 ✗
Dylan Harper	under 22.5 pts+reb	86%	-118	27 ✗
Dylan Harper	under 17.5 points	85%	-114	22 ✗
De'Aaron Fox	over 20.5 pts+ast	80%	-124	28 ✓
De'Aaron Fox	over 18.5 pts+reb	79%	-121	22 ✓
De'Aaron Fox	over 14.5 points	78%	-113	19 ✓
Dylan Harper	under 1.5 threes	75%	-172	3 ✗
P.J. Washington	over 1.5 assists	74%	-151	2 ✓
Devin Vassell	over 1.5 assists	74%	-190	6 ✓
Naji Marshall	over 20.5 pts+ast	74%	-115	15 ✗

All player props

Sorted by how far the sim sits from 50%. Players new to their team are tagged: the sim is least sure about their role.

Player	Market	Line	Sim avg	Sim over	Lean
Dylan Harper	pts+ast	21.5	15.3	12%	under 88%
Dylan Harper	pts+reb	22.5	16.5	14%	under 86%
Dylan Harper	points	17.5	12.2	15%	under 85%
De'Aaron Fox	pts+ast	20.5	26.3	80%	over 80%
De'Aaron Fox	pts+reb	18.5	24.1	79%	over 79%
De'Aaron Fox	points	14.5	19.7	78%	over 78%
Dylan Harper	threes	1.5	1.0	25%	under 75%
P.J. Washington	assists	1.5	2.6	74%	over 74%
Devin Vassell	assists	1.5	2.6	74%	over 74%
Naji Marshall	pts+ast	20.5	24.9	74%	over 74%
Max Christie	threes	1.5	2.6	73%	over 73%
P.J. Washington	pts+reb	21.5	26.0	73%	over 73%
Naji Marshall	points	15.5	19.5	72%	over 72%
Devin Vassell	rebounds	3.5	4.9	72%	over 72%
P.J. Washington	pts+ast	16.5	20.5	72%	over 72%
Stephon Castle	assists	5.5	7.1	72%	over 72%
P.J. Washington	rebounds	6.5	8.1	71%	over 71%
Daniel Gafford	points	8.5	11.4	70%	over 70%
Daniel Gafford	pts+reb	15.5	18.6	70%	over 70%
Naji Marshall	pts+reb	21.5	25.2	69%	over 69%
P.J. Washington	points	14.5	17.9	69%	over 69%
Naji Marshall	rebounds	4.5	5.7	67%	over 67%
Victor Wembanyama	threes	1.5	2.3	67%	over 67%
De'Aaron Fox	assists	5.5	6.6	65%	over 65%
Victor Wembanyama	pts+ast	31.5	28.8	35%	under 65%
Devin Vassell	pts+reb	15.5	18.2	65%	over 65%
Devin Vassell	pts+ast	13.5	16.0	65%	over 65%
Max Christie	points	11.5	14.0	64%	over 64%
Max Christie	pts+reb	15.5	18.2	64%	over 64%
Max Christie	pts+ast	14.5	17.0	64%	over 64%
Dylan Harper	assists	3.5	3.1	36%	under 64%
Naji Marshall	assists	4.5	5.4	63%	over 63%
De'Aaron Fox	rebounds	3.5	4.3	63%	over 63%
Victor Wembanyama	pts+reb	39.5	37.4	38%	under 62%
P.J. Washington	threes	1.5	2.0	61%	over 61%
Devin Vassell	points	11.5	13.4	60%	over 60%
Naji Marshall	threes	1.5	1.4	40%	under 60%
Victor Wembanyama	points	27.5	26.0	41%	under 59%
Max Christie	assists	2.5	3.0	59%	over 59%
Max Christie	rebounds	3.5	4.1	59%	over 59%
De'Aaron Fox	threes	1.5	1.9	58%	over 58%
Dylan Harper	rebounds	4.5	4.3	42%	under 58%
Daniel Gafford	rebounds	6.5	7.1	57%	over 57%
Stephon Castle	pts+reb	23.5	22.8	43%	under 57%
Stephon Castle	threes	1.5	1.5	46%	under 54%
Stephon Castle	pts+ast	23.5	24.4	54%	over 54%
Victor Wembanyama	assists	2.5	2.8	53%	over 53%
Stephon Castle	points	17.5	17.3	47%	under 53%
Stephon Castle	rebounds	5.5	5.5	47%	under 53%
Victor Wembanyama	rebounds	11.5	11.4	47%	under 53%